In the article below, Dmitry Orlov explains how the response to the catastrophe in the Gulf of Mexico is a nail in the coffin of government leadership legitimacy. I've long thought that Obama is our Gorbachev, and now Orlov makes the case that politically the oil volcano is our Chernobyl. Although I’ve never seen it as a strictly linear process, you can see Orlov’s 5 stages of collapse (Financial (2008), Commercial (2009), Political (2010), Social, Cultural) play out with each passing day.
It is embarrassing to be lost. It is even more embarrassing for a leader to be lost. And what's really really embarrassing to all concerned is when national and transnational corporate leaders attempt to tackle a major disaster and are found out to have been issuing marching orders based on the wrong map. Everyone then executes a routine of turning toward each other in shock, frowning while shaking their heads slowly from side to side and looking away in disgust. After that, these leaders might as well limit their public pronouncements to the traditional "Milk, milk, lemonade, round the corner fudge is made." Whatever they say, the universal reaction becomes: "What leaders? We don't have any."
Getting lost can be traumatic for the rest of us too. When we suddenly realize that we don't know where we are, urgent neural messages are exchanged between our prefrontal cortex, which struggles to form a coherent picture of what's happening, our amygdala, whose job is to hold on to a sense of where we are, and our hippocampus, which motivates us to get back to a place we know as quickly as we possibly can. This strange bit of internal wiring explains why humans who are only slightly lost tend to trot off in a random direction and promptly become profoundly lost. After these immediate biochemical reactions have run their course, we go through the usual stages of:
- denial—"We are not lost! The ski lodge is just over the next ridge, or the next, or the next..."
- anger—"We are wasting time! Shut up and keep trotting!"
- bargaining—"The map must be wrong; either that or someone has dynamited the giant boulder that should be right there..."
- depression—"We'll never get there! We're all going to die out here!" and
- acceptance—"We are not lost; we are right here, wherever it is. We better find some shelter and start a campfire before it gets dark and cold." (Read Full Article)
Comments